Kaspi.kz Joint Stock Company — Cyborg Score 8/10

Strong
Financial Technology / Digital Payments / E-Commerce

Strategic Profile

The company maintains market dominance with strong pricing power, customer stickiness, and operating leverage, supported by a reported ROE of 67.7% and ROIC estimates above 40%. Kaspi is expanding internationally by acquiring controlling stakes in Turkey's Hepsiburada and Rabobank Turkey to replicate its super-app model and increase its total addressable market.

Cyborg Score Rationale

The company is exceptionally profitable with consistent net margins around 45%, driven by its powerful market position and shows a strong history of rapid revenue and earnings growth. The stock trades at a strikingly low 7x PE and 5.95x forward 2026 earnings, implying a potential mispricing. However, significant geopolitical and concentration risks limit the score.

Top Insights

  • Over 14 million monthly active users in a country of 19 million people
  • Projected EPS growth of 31% year-over-year through 2026
  • 2024 revenue of 2.54 trillion (34% increase year-over-year)
  • Kazakhstani tenge volatility and currency devaluation present material downside risks for global investors

Named Competitors

  • MercadoLibre — Latin American fintech and e-commerce platform
  • Sea Ecosystem — Southeast Asian super-app with payments, gaming, and e-commerce
  • Block Ecosystem — Global digital payments and fintech infrastructure

Recent Developments

  • (March 2025) Signed share purchase agreement with Rabobank Group for controlling stake in Rabobank Turkey
  • (November 2025) Q3 2025 revenue grew 20% year-over-year with 9-month results showing strong performance
  • (February 2026) Scheduled to report full-year 2025 financial results on March 2, 2026

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