Public Transport & Passenger Transportation Services
Strategic Profile
The company operates approximately 5,800 buses and coaches in the UK through First Bus, and provides long-distance, commuter, regional, and sleeper services through Great Western Railway, South Western Railway, Avanti West Coast, Hull Trains, and Lumos franchises. The London Overground contract begins in May 2026 for an eight-year term with potential two-year extension, with FirstGroup responsible for operating services and managing stations while Transport for London retains passenger revenue risk.
Cyborg Score Rationale
The average one-year price target of 256.28 GBX with forecasts ranging from 242.40 to 273.00 GBX indicates analyst confidence. Trading in 2026 is in line with expectations and the company is executing a £25 million buyback scheme. Operational momentum is strong despite competitive pressures in rail franchising.
Top Insights
Won £3 billion London Overground contract starting May 2026 for eight years with extension options, representing major growth opportunity
Trading in 2026 aligns with expectations while executing £25 million share buyback
Recently awarded extensions to Hull Trains and Lumo open access rail services
Dividend yield of 2.97% provides shareholder returns
Named Competitors
Go-Ahead Group — UK bus and rail operator competing in same market segments
Stagecoach Group — Major UK bus and coach operator with international presence
Arriva — Previous London Overground operator replaced by FirstGroup
Recent Developments
(February 2026) Financial trading in line with expectations; £25m buyback tranche initiated
(December 2025) Awarded London Overground £3bn contract beginning May 2026
(December 2025) Hull Trains and Lumo open access services extensions awarded
(Recent) Acquisition of UK sightseeing bus operations from RATP Développement for £17m
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