Ameresco, Inc. — Cyborg Score 5/10

Mixed

Strategic Profile

The company's comprehensive portfolio includes implementing smart energy efficiency solutions, upgrading aging infrastructure, and developing, constructing, and operating distributed energy resources, serving federal, state and local governments, utilities, data centers, educational and healthcare institutions. 2025 demonstrated the durability of its model with consistent growth, expanded backlog, improved margins, and maintained financial discipline.

Cyborg Score Rationale

Ameresco was profitable over the last five years but held back by its large cost base, with an average operating margin of 6.7% that was weak for an industrials business. EBITDA guidance for 2026 is $282.5 million at the midpoint, above analyst estimates, yet operating margin declined to 6.8% from 8.4% year-over-year.

Top Insights

  • Over $5B in project backlog with $10B+ revenue visibility provides strong forward growth visibility.
  • Q4 2025 revenue beat Wall Street expectations with sales up 9.1% year-on-year to $581 million.
  • European expansion accelerated by acquisitions and 51%-owned Sunel joint venture, with recent wins in Romania and focus on Southern and Eastern markets.
  • Operating margin decreased by 1.5 percentage points over the last five years, reflecting rising costs that couldn't be passed to customers.

Named Competitors

  • Building Energy Efficiency Solutions — HVAC and building automation systems
  • Renewable Energy Development — Wind, solar, and energy infrastructure
  • Federal Energy Solutions — Government and institutional energy projects

Recent Developments

  • (March 2026) Q4 2025 results: $581M quarterly revenue (9.1% YoY growth), 2026 EBITDA guidance $282.5M at midpoint
  • (March 2026) Guidance: 2026 revenue range $2.0B-$2.2B with 9% growth expected
  • (March 2026) 100-120 MWe of energy assets planned for 2026 deployment including 2 RNG plants

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