Pediatrix Medical Group, Inc. — Cyborg Score 6/10

Solid
Healthcare Services - Physician Services & Hospital Staffing

Strategic Profile

Q4 2025 delivered adjusted EBITDA of $66M and full-year $276M driven by favorable payer mix, acuity, and disciplined cost control. 2026 guidance projects flat revenue at $1.9B and 5% EBITDA growth with steady operational metrics and no M&A included. The company faces operational challenges from elevated labor costs amid physician shortage dynamics.

Cyborg Score Rationale

The company operates with 13.21% EBITDA margins and generated $252.91M EBITDA. Recent profit pressures stem from notably higher bonus payouts to practitioners due to a tightening labor market. Strong free cash flow fundamentals support the business model despite near-term growth headwinds.

Top Insights

  • Trading at substantial valuation discount: Current P/E of 9.7x well below industry average of 23.7x and analyst fair ratio of 17.5x
  • Elevated labor costs pressuring profitability: Higher physician bonus payouts from tight labor market drove Q4 EPS miss despite revenue beat
  • Flat growth 2026 guidance: Revenue expected flat at $1.9B despite EBITDA growth expectations, suggesting margin compression risks
  • Strong free cash flow generation: 12-month FCF of $247.2M provides capital flexibility for shareholder returns and debt reduction

Named Competitors

  • Physician Staffing & Hospital Services — Diversified healthcare services provider competing in clinical staffing
  • Physician Staffing — Staffing solutions for healthcare facilities
  • Healthcare Services — Home and community-based healthcare services

Recent Developments

  • (February 2026) Q4 2025 earnings: Revenue $493.8M (-2% YoY), adjusted EPS $0.50 vs $0.54 consensus, stock fell 12%
  • (November 2025) Analyst upgrades: Truist raised target to $24, UBS raised to $23 citing strong financial performance
  • (July 2022) Rebranded: Company changed official name from MEDNAX Inc to Pediatrix Medical Group

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