Oatly Group AB — Cyborg Score 4/10

Mixed
Plant-Based Dairy & Beverages

Strategic Profile

Oatly operates within the consumer defensive sector of the packaged foods industry and is positioned as a key player in the sustainable dairy-alternative market. The company is completing a turnaround with improved margins and reduced cash burn, with growth prospects bolstered by new products and strong traction in Europe and International markets.

Cyborg Score Rationale

Since IPO in May 2021, Oatly's market cap has declined 96.53% from $10.07B to $349.36M. However, Q3 2025 results showed profitable growth with positive adjusted EBITDA, signaling financial health and operational efficiency. The company faces structural challenges but shows early recovery signals.

Top Insights

  • Market capitalization has collapsed 96.53% since May 2021 IPO, from $10.07B to $349M
  • Revenue grew modestly from $0.78B (2023) to $0.82B (2024), with TTM revenue at $0.84B as of February 2026
  • Q3 2025 showed profitable growth with solid revenue increase in constant currency
  • Analyst sentiment improving with 5 Buy ratings and 2 Hold ratings; median price target $17.00 vs. current ~$11.65

Named Competitors

  • Almond Breeze — Plant-based almond milk alternative
  • Silk Soy Milk — Plant-based soy and other alternatives
  • Ripple — Pea-based plant milk alternative

Recent Developments

  • (Oct 2025) Q3 2025 earnings showed profitable growth with positive adjusted EBITDA
  • (Feb 2026) Q4 2025 financial results scheduled for reporting
  • (Jan 2026) Market cap at $349M, stock trading near $11.52

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